A possible scenario - the US-Zionist attack on Iran

________________

 

The War With Iran, By Douglas Herman, A Rense.com Exclusive, 1-9-5

Day One -

The war began as planned. The Israeli pilots took off well before dawn and streaked across Lebanon and northern Iraq, high above Kirkuk. Flying US-made F-15 and F-16s, the Israelis separated over the mountains of western Iran, the pilots gesturing a last minute show of confidence in their mission, maintaining radio silence.

Just before the sun rose over Tehran, moments before the Muslim call to prayer, the missiles struck their targets. While US Air Force AWACS planes circled overhead--listening, watching, recording--heavy US bombers followed minutes later. Bunker-busters and mini-nukes fell on dozens of targets while Iranian anti-aircraft missiles sped skyward.

The ironically named Bushehr nuclear power plant crumbled to dust. Russian technicians and foreign nationals scurried for safety. Most did not make it.

Targets in Saghand and Yazd, all of them carefully chosen many months before by Pentagon planners, were destroyed. The uranium enrichment facility in Natanz; a heavy water plant and radioisotope facility in Arak; the Ardekan Nuclear Fuel Unit; the Uranium Conversion Facility and Nuclear Technology Center in Isfahan; were struck simultaneously by USAF and Israeli bomber groups.

The Tehran Nuclear Research Center, the Tehran Molybdenum, Iodine and Xenon Radioisotope Production Facility, the Tehran Jabr Ibn Hayan Multipurpose Laboratories, the Kalaye Electric Company in the Tehran suburbs were destroyed.

Iranian fighter jets rose in scattered groups. At least those Iranian fighter planes that had not been destroyed on the ground by swift and systematic air strikes from US and Israeli missiles. A few Iranian fighters even launched missiles, downing the occasional attacker, but American top guns quickly prevailed in the ensuing dogfights.

The Iranian air force, like the Iranian navy, never really knew what hit them. Like the slumbering US sailors at Pearl Harbor, the pre-dawn, pre-emptive attack wiped out fully half the Iranian defense forces in a matter of hours.

By mid-morning, the second and third wave of US/Israeli raiders screamed over the secondary targets. The only problem now, the surprising effectiveness of the Iranian missile defenses. The element of surprise lost, US and Israeli warplanes began to fall from the skies in considerable numbers to anti-aircraft fire.

At 7:35 AM, Tehran time, the first Iranian anti-ship missile destroyed a Panamanian oil tanker, departing from Kuwait and bound for Houston. Launched from an Iranian fighter plane, the Exocet split the ship in half and set the ship ablaze in the Strait of Hormuz. A second and third tanker followed, black smoke billowing from the broken ships before they blew up and sank. By 8:15 AM, all ship traffic on the Persian Gulf had ceased.

US Navy ships, ordered earlier into the relative safety of the Indian Ocean, south of their base in Bahrain, launched counter strikes. Waves of US fighter planes circled the burning wrecks in the bottleneck of Hormuz but the Iranian fighters had fled.

At 9 AM, Eastern Standard Time, many hours into the war, CNN reported a squadron of suicide Iranian fighter jets attacking the US Navy fleet south of Bahrain. Embedded reporters aboard the ships--sending live feeds directly to a rapt audience of Americans just awakening--reported all of the Iranian jets destroyed, but not before the enemy planes launched dozens of Exocet and Sunburn anti-ship missiles. A US aircraft carrier, cruiser and two destroyers suffered direct hits. The cruiser blew up and sank, killing 600 men. The aircraft carrier sank an hour later.

By mid-morning, every military base in Iran was partially or wholly destroyed. Sirens blared and fires blazed from hundreds of fires. Explosions rocked Tehran and the electrical power failed. The Al Jazeerah news station in Tehran took a direct hit from a satellite bomb, leveling the entire block.

At 9:15 AM, Baghdad time, the first Iranian missile struck the Green Zone. For the next thirty minutes a torrent of missiles landed on GPS coordinates carefully selected by Shiite militiamen with cell phones positioned outside the Green Zone and other permanent US bases. Although US and Israeli bomber pilots had destroyed 90% of the Iranian missiles, enough Shahabs remained to fully destroy the Green Zone, the Baghdad airport, and a US Marine base. Thousands of unsuspecting US soldiers died in the early morning barrage. Not surprisingly, CNN and Fox withheld the great number of casualties from American viewers.

By 9:30 AM, gas stations on the US east coast began to raise their prices. Slowly at first and then altogether in a panic, the prices rose. $4 a gallon, and then $5 and then $6, the prices skyrocketed. Worried motorists, rushing from work, roared into the nearest gas station, radios blaring the latest reports of the pre-emptive attack on Iran. While fistfights broke out in gas stations everywhere, the third Middle Eastern war had begun.

In Washington DC, the spin began minutes after the first missile struck its intended target. The punitive strike--not really a war said the harried White House spokesman--would further democracy and peace in the Middle East. Media pundits mostly followed the party line. By ridding Iran of weapons of mass destruction, Donald Rumsfeld declared confidently on CNN, Iran might follow in the footsteps of Iraq, and enjoy the hard won fruits of freedom.

The president scheduled a speech at 2 PM. Gas prices rose another two dollars before then. China and Japan threatened to dump US dollars. Gold rose $120 an ounce. The dollar plummeted against the Euro.

CNN reported violent, anti-American protests in Paris, London, Rome, Berlin and Dublin. Fast food franchises throughout Europe, carrying American corporate logos, were firebombed.

A violent coup toppled the pro-American Pakistan president. On the New York Stock Exchange, prices fell in a frenzy of trading--except for the major petroleum producers. A single, Iranian Shahab missile struck Tel Aviv, destroying an entire city block. Israel vowed revenge, and threatened a nuclear strike on Tehran, before a hastily called UN General Assembly in New York City eased tensions.

An orange alert in New York City suddenly reddened to a full-scale terror alarm when a package detonated on a Manhattan subway. Mayor Bloomberg declared martial law. Governor Pataki ordered the New York National Guard fully mobilized, mobilizing what few national guardsmen remained in the state.

President Bush looked shaken at 2 PM. The scroll below the TV screen reported Persian Gulf nations halting production of oil until the conflict could be resolved peacefully. Venezuelan president, Hugo Chavez, announced a freeze in oil deliveries to the US would begin immediately. Tony Blair offered to mediate peace negotiations, between the US and Israel and Iran, but was resoundingly rejected.

By 6 PM, Eastern Standard Time, gas prices had stabilized at just below $10 a gallon. A Citgo station in Texas, near Fort Sam Houston Army base, was firebombed. No one claimed responsibility. Terrorism was not ruled out.

At sunset, the call to prayer--in Tehran, Baghdad, Islamabad, Ankara, Jerusalem, Jakarta, Riyadh--sounded uncannily like the buzzing of enraged bees.

----------------------------------------------------

USAF veteran, Douglas Herman correctly predicted the aftermath of the attack on Iraq in his column: Shock & Awe Followed by Block-To-Block. A Rense contributer, he is the author of The Guns of Dallas, available at Amazon.com. Contact him at douglasherman7@yahoo.com.

________________________ 

 

 

Iran facing Jewish proxy attack

 

1. When push comes to shove, a normal human factor of behaviour kicks in, for example, secular Jews, religious Jews, atheist Jews, Christian Jews, Masonic Jews, Sephardic/Ashkenazi Jews, Indian Jews, Chinese Jews, Nordic Jews, African Jews, etc. will flock to the cause that unites them - to stay alive as Jews and to retain their victim status. This is done at a horrendous price – the rejection of embracing any civilizing influences that flow from a pursuit of truth-seeking and quests for freedom. 

 

2. Currently this Jewish cause is an absolute belief in the 'Holocaust', the lie that falsely brands Germans as murderers of the highest order, who perpetrated a Jewish genocide.

3. Anyone who is interested in the 'Holocaust' and wishes to know the truth about those three basic allegations that make up the 'Holocaust' LIE - Germany had an extermination policy against Jews, six million Jews were killed by Germans, the murder weapon was a huge chemical slaughterhouse/gas chamber - should plough through Germar Rudolf's 21-volume Holocaust Handbook set. After studying the REVISIONIST case, anyone who then still believes in the HOLOCAUST is not ignorant of the facts anymore but a bloody liar!

4. Anyone who still believes in the 'Holocaust-Shoah' is viciously attacking German moral and intellectual honour and integrity without substantiating their allegations. Germans who uphold the Holocaust' LIE in Germany do so because they are not permitted to defend themselves against any allegation levelled against them: that state of affairs is clearly demonstrated by the hunt for REVISIONISTS such as Germar Rudolf, Ernst Zündel, Siegfried Verbeke, Günter Kögel, Wolfgang Fröhlich, et al...

5. The following item about IRAN is just part of the scenario that for its rationale ultimately falls back on the 'HOLOCAUST' LIES. Hence, anyone who wilfully ‘believes’ and propagates any ‘Holocaust’ lies, is thus aiding and abetting in defaming Germans in the most vile form, and supporting the Jewish-led extermination of Palestinians.

 

6. Individuals who can clearly see how the ‘Holocaust’ lies distort world events, how Revisionists’  imprisonment reflects a degeneration of our standards of civilization, then still believe in the ‘Holocaust’  as a factual reality, are either playing dumb or dissembling for the sake of retaining their voice of protest at human injustices that confront them on a  daily basis.

 

Fredrick Töben  16 April 2006

========================================


Risking the Ultimate Blowback

Don't Blitz Iran

By BRIAN CLOUGHLEY



"Iran's testing of a new missile . . . 'demonstrates that Iran has a very active and aggressive military program under way,' US State Department deputy spokesman Adam Ereli said. 'That includes both, as we've talked about before, efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction as well as delivery systems'."

Middle East News, April 1.


"The Pentagon is preparing to set off a record-breaking bang, detonating 635 tonnes of high explosives and sending a mushroom cloud into the sky over the Nevada desert. The blast, on June 2, codenamed Divine Strake [sic], is likely to be the biggest controlled conventional explosion in military history, experts said, and is designed to test the impact of bunker-busting [nuclear] bombs aimed at underground targets."

Guardian (UK) April 1.


The Bush Administration is preparing for a series of air strikes (or Divine Strakes) on Iran. There is a chance that the Christian fundamentalists of Washington could be persuaded that attacking the country would be insane, but the hard core of loonies will probably win, and there will be yet another war.

The consequences for the US and the rest of the world will be terrible. Lots of people will die, but since that is irrelevant to Bush zealots in any context there is no point in examining their plans from the perspectives of morality or international law.

An April LA Times' poll showed that 48 per cent of Americans want war on Iran, while only 40 don't, when answering the question "If Iran continued to produce material that can be used to develop nuclear weapons, would you support or oppose military action?" They've been brainwashed, just like the millions who still believe Saddam Hussein was responsible for 9-11, and the Washington mind-benders are licking their lips.

Notification of the 'Divine Strake' quasi-nuclear test in June may have been designed in part to frighten Iran's government out of continuing its nuclear program, but its purpose was officially advertised as improvement of "warfighters' confidence in their ability to plan to defeat hardened and deeply buried targets". Don't you love the word "defeat"? What they mean, in their absurd and savage jargon, is "obliterate by nuclear bomb". And if they were anything but bloody-minded barbaric humbugs they would say so. With their fingers poised on the buttons of seven thousand US nukes they trot out fatuous phrases like "weapons of mass destruction" which would reduce us all to fits of laughter if the purpose of these fanatics was not so evil.

The psychos intend to destroy the Iranian government, and it will take a near-miracle for their planned onslaught to be cancelled. They do not care about what will happen after they blitz the place with their bunker-busters and all the other demented video-game whizzery at their disposal. The word 'strake' is meaningless in hi-technology language, but preceded by 'Divine' it conveys exactly, crudely and brutally, what is intended : Watch out, Islamic nations : the Crusaders are going to get you.

Iran recently tested four items of antique military technology. The missiles and torpedoes it fired off so publicly are about the standard of weapons that the US had 30-40 years ago. But this does not mean to say they won't be effective in achieving the immediate aims of Iran's leaders if their country is attacked.

If the US attacks Iran the Tehran government will then try to close the Persian Gulf to the passage of oil tankers. It will also try to destroy as many oilfields as possible along and off the west coast of the Gulf, and fire as many missiles as it can towards the bases of its enemies.

What are the Iranians expected to do if they are blitzed by Divine "deep-penetration" nuclear bombs, cruise missiles and sundry other air strikes? Does anyone in their right mind think they will sit back and say 'Oh, well, that's life' after the US has attacked their territory and killed Iranian citizens? (Perhaps thousands of them ; maybe more. Who cares?--not the psychopaths in Washington and their ideological brothers in Tel Aviv.)

Of course the Iranians will hit back, and they will do so to the utmost of their power. Sure, that isn't much. But in addition to destabilizing the entire Middle East the US war will ensure that Iran won't lack allies. One thing even Cheney and Bush can't claim is that Al Qaeda and Iran are linked, simply because the former is Sunni Muslim and Iranians are mostly Shias. But when the bombs and cruise missiles thunder down on Iran, there will not be a Sunni Muslim country or organization in the world that will not rally to support the 'victim of the Infidels', no matter that it is Shia. I wouldn't like to be an American citizen on the streets of any country in the world after Washington hit Iran.

And the truly terrible thing is that the large and growing number of pro-western young Iranians, hundreds of thousands of them, desperate to be released from a humorless, unmerciful and cretinous medieval theocracy, will automatically unite in hatred of the country that attacked them.

The Pentagon has packed the Persian Gulf with dozens of warships that have identified and tracked almost every radar and missile site along the Iraqi coast. Satellites have done the same inland. Strike aircraft from US carriers have been trailing their coats and practicing attacks on Iranian defense installations for years. The shooting down of an Iranian civil airliner by the USS Vincennes was only part of the game. (300 innocent people were murdered and the captain of the ship was decorated, which gave Iran the message about where it stands in the US scheme of things.)

Washington will not dare invade Iran, of course, because Iran's military would not be the walkover that the pathetic Iraqi army was, and US ground forces would suffer thousands of casualties. The stand-off attack will be the usual video game, controlled from air-conditioned coke-swigging comfort, followed by ham-handed attempts at public relations damage control.

The first US priority after attacking Iran will be to try to stop the Iranians closing the Gulf at the Strait of Hormuz which they could do by sinking a passing tanker. 90 per cent of oil from the Gulf--about two fifths of the world's supply--is moved by tanker through the Strait, which is less than five navigable miles wide. An easy target area.

It will probably take only one sunk ship to seriously disrupt world oil supplies. But even if a single tanker doesn't actually block the Strait, the crews of others are not going to be happy about sailing into danger. Insurance rates will go through the roof, and recent spikes in oil prices will be nothing compared with what would come. If the Iranians manage to sink two large tankers at the Gulf choke point, say goodbye to Gulf oil exports for a week or so. Perhaps US citizens will be happy to pay $10 or more per gallon to fill their cars ; but maybe not.

Even then, does anyone think that Iran would let the US clear the Hormuz Strait without doing its best to disrupt salvage efforts? Like hell it would. There would be suicide boat attacks, suicide plane attacks, and further missile strikes. Although most airfields in Iran would be destroyed by cruise missiles and much of the Iranian air force would be shot out of the sky by roving US fighter jocks within hours of the war beginning, Tehran would still retain a limited offensive capability.

The Iranians would fire most of the some 400 medium-range ballistic missiles they've got at US bases in Iraq and Afghanistan and at the oil fields across the Gulf. They know exactly where they are, without need for all the clever satellite technology the Pentagon has, because their myriad supporters tell them the precise locations. (There are hundreds of thousands of Shias in these countries.) The missiles might not cause many casualties among US troops, but they will destroy a lot of oil production capacity in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the southern Gulf nations. (Some US troops will die, of course : maybe a few hundred if a couple of missiles strike lucky. But what does that matter to the Bush Administration?)

If Israel is involved in the attacks (and, given the paranoia of some of Iran's leaders about Israel, probably even if Israel is not involved in the attacks), then some longer-range missiles will be pooped off in a westerly direction, hoping to impact somewhere in Israel, which at least some of them would do. They might deliver biological or chemical warheads, but even if they are just high explosive and cause only a dozen or so casualties each there would be irresistible pressure within Israel to retaliate, probably with nuclear weapons. Nobody except a few Librul peaceniks will care about that.

But even before Israel's strikes, the price of oil would have gone to $100 a barrel, and rising. In the US $10 a gallon would be only a memory. In Europe, and especially the UK, governments would be forced to reduce their enormous taxes imposed on vehicle fuel, signaling a downward economic spiral. Russia and China would cope remarkably well, but almost all the developed world, and especially Japan, would suffer to the verge of catastrophe. The social development of thrusting India could unravel with disastrous consequences, given the already critical state of the Naxalite (Maoist) insurrection in eight states of the country.

Most of South America would laugh at the plight of the US. The democratically-elected Mr Chavez of Venezuela (excellent piece about him in The Atlantic, this month), so much hated by Bush and Cheney who are plotting his overthrow because Venezuela does not support US Big Oil, would take delight in playing the oil card.

It is not well known in the US that Venezuela is so important, even vital, in the matrix of American oil consumption. (Although its oil is thick and difficult to process.) But it produces about 5 per cent of the world's total, and American citizens will rapidly realize that it does, when the oil crunch begins. The US Department of Energy states that "Venezuela contains some of the largest oil and natural gas reserves in the world. It consistently ranks as one the top suppliers of U.S. oil imports and is among the top ten crude oil producers." And this is the country that the Cheney-Bush administration is determined to alienate. If this sort of thing appeared in fiction it would be ridiculed as being too far-fetched.

In the Malacca Strait and other sea routes around Indonesia there would be disruption, even if Iran did not manage to close the Gulf. The citizens of Muslim countries of East Asia despise, distrust and hate the US just as much as those elsewhere. It would be surprising, after a US attack on Iran, if there was not an attempt to block these tanker routes. Again, a single flaming tanker hulk could do it, causing enormous extra costs to oil transportation to Japan.

The US banned oil imports from Iran after the overthrow of the Shah in 1979, but it is estimated that Iran exports about 4 million barrels a day. This amount is scheduled to rise because India and China and some others have invested in oil and gas production facilities. India resents being ordered by Washington to discontinue its negotiations with Iran about an overland pipeline. China has an agreement worth US$100 billion for supply of Iranian natural gas over the next 25 years. And China, although saying nothing publicly about the US obsession with Iran, is going to react fiercely if its long-term energy plans are disrupted by the Bush administration, which it regards with contempt. A US blitzkrieg on Iran is not going to be regarded favorably by Tehran's trading partners, if only because it will interfere drastically with their economic development.

Even if Cheney and Bush are not lunatic enough to send their cruise missiles and bombers to attack Iran they might manage to have harsh economic sanctions imposed, additional to the unilateral ones in place by the US for years. They usually ignore warning signals, so doubtless they dismissed the unmistakable threat in September 2005 that Iran could endure a self-inflicted cut in oil exports in the national interest of combating what it would consider rabidly hostile action. It is estimated that cutting exports would raise the price of oil to $80-100 a barrel. This wouldn't matter to the rich in America, who are all that Cheney and Bush care about. But it would matter to the average man and woman who are even now struggling to make ends meet as a result of the rich-supportive tax policy of the present Administration.

There is no point in putting the moral position against attacking Iran. The Cheney-Bush administration has shown itself impervious to argument, and presenting a case against killing thousands of innocent people cuts no ice with blinkered zealots. The planned blitzkrieg of divine strikes will probably take place. It will alter the entire world and create hatred of America that will never be eradicated. And there is nothing we can do about it. At this Easter time (and Thai New Year), God help us all.

Brian Cloughley writes on military and political affairs. He can be reached through his website www.briancloughley.com

_____________________

From: James Beardsley 
Sent: Monday, April 17, 2006 6:22 AM
Subject: Iran Nuclear Weapons and Lou Dobbs

 

Top | Home

©-free 2006 Adelaide Institute